Tiangong-1 reentry updates

Latest reentry time window forecast provided by the Space Debris Office at ESA’s ESOC mission control centre, Darmstadt, Germany.

Note: Read our updated FAQ

Update week ending 21 January 2017

The current estimated window is ~16 March to ~14 April; this is highly variable.

Reentry will take place anywhere between 43ºN and 43ºS (e.g. Spain, France, Portugal, Greece, etc.). Areas outside of these latitudes can be excluded. At no time will a precise time/location prediction from ESA be possible. This forecast will be updated approximately every week in January and February.

Predicted time window for reentry. Horizontal axis shows the chart was generated. Vertical axis shows the range of dates during which reentry is most likely to occur. Credit: ESA CC BY-SA IGO 3.0

Predicted time window for reentry. Horizontal axis shows the chart was generated. Vertical axis shows the range of dates during which reentry is most likely to occur. Credit: ESA CC BY-SA IGO 3.0

Current forecast altitude decay for Tiangong-1 Credit: ESA CC BY-SA 3.0 IGO

Current forecast altitude decay for Tiangong-1 Credit: ESA CC BY-SA 3.0 IGO

 

Comments

3 Comments

  • T Zevo says:

    The parenthesis referring to spain, portugal, greece seems irrelevant to re-entry of tiangong between 43° north and 43° south!
    It seems that scientific community is rather casual about potential consequences of this un controlled re-entry situation.
    Little press on this for fear of embarrassing China?

  • John Kinahan says:

    People (e.g. Fox News) interprets your examples for 43 degrees N to 43 degrees S to mean Europe, and the continental US is not in its path… You should clarify this…

  • Viktor says:

    The positive side of that potential tragedy is more positions at space depris science.

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